The Illinois Broadcaster’s Association released a poll this week that has Democrat JB Pritzker leading Republican Darren Bailey in the governor’s race “by 22 points” and for some inexplicable reason, the IBA decided to only poll registered voters less than a month before election day. Registered Voters. Not likely voters, registered voters. Even on FiveThirtyEight.com’s list of Illinois governor polls, this IBA survey stands out like a sore thumb, the only poll listed of 9 conducted since August that polled registered voters instead of likely voters.Mike Koolidge says the Illinois Broadcasters Association put out this poll and that it is complete propaganda and they cook up numbers to advance the outcome they want.
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates recently completed a survey of 800 likely voters in the 2022 Illinois gubernatorial general election, and it is clear that the Pritzker vs. Bailey race is tightening significantly.
– Pritzker previously was leading Bailey by 10 points in August, but Bailey has chopped that lead in half to 5 in September.
– Among “definite” voters, Pritzker is only up by 3 points, which is within margin of error.
– If you have an option of both candidates, Prizker’s lead is 3; if you’ve heard of both, Pritzker is up by only 1.
The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.46%.